Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.619333 1.850631 2.103368 2.400063 2.738895 3.113882 3.560527
2025-01-05 1.222815 1.526233 1.887835 2.350715 2.927935 3.624660 4.530629
2025-01-12 0.999058 1.324777 1.736802 2.296597 3.038249 3.988589 5.301468
2025-01-19 0.835784 1.164587 1.601317 2.224370 3.091856 4.259310 5.954370
2025-01-26 0.781767 1.137364 1.630187 2.363838 3.430513 4.928773 7.200699
2025-02-02 0.738082 1.116132 1.660401 2.502157 3.774469 5.631478 8.559390
2025-02-09 0.691472 1.083202 1.667104 2.602193 4.066634 6.280364 9.897483
2025-02-16 0.637822 1.032289 1.639465 2.643702 4.268944 6.806826 11.092948
2025-02-23 0.572580 0.955315 1.562343 2.597012 4.323620 7.102757 11.943512
2025-03-02 0.521616 0.895611 1.505769 2.575740 4.413676 7.457889 12.917340
2025-03-09 0.483022 0.852227 1.470933 2.585554 4.553524 7.902932 14.078619
2025-03-16 0.449300 0.813566 1.439793 2.597365 4.695454 8.360158 15.298505
2025-03-23 0.419493 0.779699 1.415084 2.620429 4.863589 8.885473 16.706162
2025-03-30 0.381281 0.726863 1.351857 2.567697 4.889169 9.158475 17.678505
2025-04-06 0.346559 0.676932 1.288898 2.508502 4.895220 9.392848 18.595146
2025-04-13 0.313140 0.626129 1.219404 2.429572 4.854640 9.533086 19.338073
2025-04-20 0.310833 0.635965 1.266365 2.581988 5.280558 10.608226 22.040899
2025-04-27 0.307982 0.644315 1.310887 2.733155 5.717134 11.741601 24.969342
2025-05-04 0.300451 0.642243 1.334155 2.842486 6.077016 12.750388 27.732006
2025-05-11 0.286923 0.626236 1.327368 2.887852 6.305836 13.507224 30.025838
2025-05-18 0.265491 0.591235 1.277803 2.836823 6.322204 13.816037 31.366872
2025-05-25 0.248382 0.564104 1.242545 2.813575 6.396709 14.254849 33.036947
2025-06-01 0.235509 0.545224 1.223445 2.824301 6.547464 14.872306 35.169403